2013 Mid-Year Investment Outlook
The first half of 2013 has treated stock investors well, particularly those who have kept their money at home in domestic holdings. Indeed, U.S. stocks returned approximately 13 percent during the first half of the year while the rest of... Read More →
Desperately Seeking Investment Income
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Date01 Apr 2012
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/CategoriesBonds, Cash Flow, Dividends, Investing, Peninsula People Articles, Stock Picks, Volatility
With no help from the Federal Reserve conservative investors are forced to look elsewhere for income – bonds and CDs can’t get the job done. It seems like an eternity since I last recommended bond purchases for my clients. Actually... Read More →
Buy-and-Hold and Other Bad Ideas
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Date01 Oct 2011
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/CategoriesBear Market, Bonds, Dividends, Investing, Peninsula People Articles, Real Estate, Stock Picks, Volatility
The biggest mistake an investors can make today is without a doubt, selling stocks and buying bonds In 2005, I wrote an article for TheStreet.com titled “Protection Against a Housing Collapse.” I was a real estate bear probably for two... Read More →
Nowhere to Turn in this Rate-Hike Cycle
At the start of 2000 it became clear that the Federal Reserve was going to burst the stock market bubble by raising interest rates. Of course, the Fed would never say its intentions were to deflate an overheated stock market:... Read More →
Readings Vary with Valuation Metrics
In a July 2 column, I wrote about how the Fed Model (a.k.a. Greenspan’s Model) indicated that stocks were undervalued by about 25% relative to bonds. To review, the model basically compares the forward earnings yield on the S&P 500... Read More →
Revisiting the Fed Model
Remember the Fed Model? If your memory needs refreshing, here’s a quick review. For years, there’s been a strong correlation between the earnings yield for the S&P 500 (inverse of the forward price-to-earnings ratio) and the yield on the 10-year... Read More →